> For the complete documentation index, see [llms.txt](https://serotolabs.gitbook.io/tradeclash/llms.txt). Markdown versions of documentation pages are available by appending `.md` to page URLs; this page is available as [Markdown](https://serotolabs.gitbook.io/tradeclash/legacy-documentation/economic-models.md).

# Historical: Economic Models

> **This is legacy documentation.** Trade Clash has pivoted from AI-driven economic simulation to a [sealed-lot auction game](/tradeclash/game-design/core-mechanics.md). These economic models are no longer part of the game. Preserved for historical reference.

***

## Overview

The original Trade Clash used real economic models to calculate the cascading effects of AI leader decisions. When an AI leader made a policy decision (e.g., raise tariffs), the outcome flowed through these models to determine economic impacts.

## Gravity Trade Model

Bilateral trade volume calculated from GDP, geographic distance, and political friction between nations. Based on the gravity model of international trade — larger, closer economies trade more, adjusted for political relationships.

## Melitz Model

Export feasibility determined by firm productivity thresholds. When trade conditions changed, only firms above a certain productivity level could continue exporting. This created realistic asymmetric impacts across nations.

## Tit-for-Tat Retaliation

AI leaders maintained a 5-round grudge memory. If Nation A imposed tariffs on Nation B, Nation B would retaliate within 1-2 rounds. Retaliation chains could cascade through the entire system for 5-6 rounds before decaying.

## Economic Indicators

The simulation tracked per-nation:

* GDP and growth rate
* Trade balance
* Resource reserves
* Political stability index

These indicators shifted based on AI decisions filtered through the economic models.

## Why They Were Retired

The pivot to sealed-lot auctions removed the AI simulation layer entirely. The new game derives value directly from Polymarket positions rather than from simulated economic outcomes.


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