Predictions & Points

The book lets you stake on live matches. It runs on play-points.

Points only

Nothing here moves real money.

• Stakes are game points with no real-world value

• There is no deposit, no withdrawal, no custody, and no cash-out

• Points cannot be transferred, sold, or exchanged

• Connecting a wallet signs an identity message (EIP-4361 / Sign-In with Ethereum). Trade Clash never asks a wallet to sign a transaction that moves funds.

Real-value paths sit behind ordered gates — external audit, determinism receipts, legal review, KYC, and custody. None of them are cleared. This page documents what exists today.

The server decides

Every number that matters is computed server-side:

	Who decides
The price / odds	Server
The betting clock and when the book closes	Server
The win probability	Server-side model, mirrored client-side for display
The result	Server, derived from match state
Settlement	Server

Clients send intents and render pushed state. A client never computes an authoritative price, clock, or outcome. Every pushed update is a full snapshot, so a reconnect is just a re-subscribe — there is no delta bookkeeping to get out of sync.

Placing a prediction

1. Sign in — one gas-free signature, never a transaction

2. Pick a side while the book is open

3. Stake points

4. The book closes on the server clock; late intents are rejected

5. The match settles against the server-derived winner

Each intent carries an idempotency key, so a retry on a flaky connection cannot double-stake you.

Why the book closes early

Betting closes before the match resolves. A book that stayed open into a decided position would just be paying people for watching the end, which is not a prediction.

When betting is unavailable

The book is closed whenever the match cannot be trusted to run on a clean clock — for example when speed controls or testing modes are active. The interface says so rather than quietly accepting stakes.