Tournament Structure
7-Day Competition Format
Trade Clash tournaments run weekly, testing your ability to predict AI behavior across 56 rounds of economic chaos.
Tournament Overview
Duration: 7 days (Monday 00:00 UTC → Sunday 23:59 UTC)
Total Rounds: 56 (8 rounds per day)
Round Frequency: 3-hour cycles
Format: Cumulative P&L leaderboard
Prize Pool: Weekly $SIM distribution to top 10 players
Tournament Schedule
Daily Structure
8 rounds per day at fixed times (UTC):
1
00:00
02:50
03:00
2
03:00
05:50
06:00
3
06:00
08:50
09:00
4
09:00
11:50
12:00
5
12:00
14:50
15:00
6
15:00
17:50
18:00
7
18:00
20:50
21:00
8
21:00
23:50
00:00
Flexible Participation: You don't need to play all 56 rounds. Skip rounds strategically.
Round Structure
Phase 1: Setup (0:00 - 0:10)
Polymarket question announced
Active AI leaders revealed (2-3 per round)
Current economic state displayed
Grudge memory visible
Phase 2: Betting Window (0:10 - 2:50)
Fast-swipe YES or NO predictions
Hivemind tracker live updates
Timing multipliers decrease over time
Predictions lock when submitted (no changes)
Phase 3: AI Decision (2:50 - 3:00)
Betting closes at 2h 50min mark
AI processes Polymarket + Hivemind signals
Economic models calculate outcomes
Winners determined
Phase 4: Resolution (3:00)
Results announced
Points awarded (with timing multipliers)
Leaderboard updated
On-chain data posted to Base
Next round begins immediately
Scoring System
Starting Balance
Every player begins with 1,000 points
Base Points
✅ Correct Prediction: +100 points ❌ Incorrect Prediction: -50 points
Timing Multipliers
Early Contrarian (0-30 minutes):
Correct: 1.5x → +150 points total
Incorrect: -50 points (no extra penalty)
High risk, high reward
Mid-Range (30min - 1 hour):
Correct: 1.3x → +130 points
Incorrect: -50 points
Standard (1-2 hours):
Correct: 1.1x → +110 points
Incorrect: -50 points
Consensus (2+ hours):
Correct: 1.0x → +100 points
Incorrect: -50 points
Safe plays for stability
Consistency Bonus
10+ consecutive positive rounds: +10% bonus to all earnings during streak
Why: Rewards stable, skilled play over lucky volatility
Leaderboard & Rankings
Real-Time Tracking
Leaderboard updates after every round resolution:
Displayed Stats:
P&L: Cumulative profit/loss vs 1,000 starting balance
Streak: Current consecutive positive rounds
Rounds Played: Participation rate (optional rounds)
Ranking System
Ranked by: Cumulative P&L over all rounds played
Tiebreaker: Higher consistency bonus percentage
Minimum Participation: None (even 1 round counts)
Prize Pool Distribution
Top 10 Split Weekly $SIM
1st
30%
$300
2nd
20%
$200
3rd
15%
$150
4th
10%
$100
5th
7%
$70
6th
6%
$60
7th
5%
$50
8th
3%
$30
9th
2%
$20
10th
2%
$20
Prize Pool Size: Varies by tournament, announced at start
Distribution: Automatic at tournament end via smart contract
Strategic Considerations
Round Selection
You Don't Need to Play Every Round
Strategic skipping when:
Unclear signals (PM ~55%, HM ~52%)
Unfamiliar AI combinations
Grudge dynamics you haven't tracked
GDP context uncertain
Optimal Participation: ~40-48 rounds (71-86% of tournament)
Timing Strategy
Early Tournament (Rounds 1-14):
Build position with high-confidence plays
Establish consistency streak
Learn grudge patterns forming
Mid Tournament (Rounds 15-42):
Exploit established grudge cycles
Capitalize on pattern recognition
Maintain consistency bonus
Late Tournament (Rounds 43-56):
Tournament position matters
Leading: Conservative plays to defend
Chasing: Aggressive contrarian bets
Mid-pack: Target specific high-confidence rounds
Risk Management
Conservative Strategy (Defend Lead):
Only bet when signals extremely clear
Follow Laglord momentum plays (most predictable)
Avoid contrarian threshold edge cases
Target 1.0x multiplier consensus plays
Aggressive Strategy (Climb Leaderboard):
Early timing multipliers (1.5x)
Contrarian threshold plays (Gates/Hodali)
Large divergence bets (Lei/Shipton)
Accept higher variance
Balanced Strategy (Optimal):
Mix of early (1.5x) and mid (1.3x) timing
Target clear AI triggers (85%, 80%, >20-point divergence)
Skip unclear rounds
Build consistency streaks
Tournament Phases
Phase 1: Pattern Discovery (Days 1-2)
What's Happening:
Players learning active AI personalities
Grudge formation begins
Economic baselines established
Strategy:
Conservative position building
Learn which AIs are active this tournament
Track early conflicts for grudge memory
Phase 2: Pattern Exploitation (Days 3-5)
What's Happening:
Grudge cycles active (5-round memory)
Consistent players pull ahead
Economic cascades from early rounds
Strategy:
Exploit established grudges
Use retaliation memory for predictions
Maximize consistency bonus
Phase 3: Tournament Positioning (Days 6-7)
What's Happening:
Leaderboard becomes clear
Leaders play defensively
Chasers take risks
Strategy:
Adjust risk based on position
Leading? Protect with safe plays
Chasing? Swing for contrarian wins
Mid-pack? High-confidence only
Tournament Variations
Standard Weekly
Format: 56 rounds over 7 days Prize Pool: $500-2,000 USDC Participation: Open to all Most Common
Sprint Tournament
Format: 24 rounds over 3 days Prize Pool: $200-500 USDC Participation: Open Fast-paced
Championship
Format: 112 rounds over 14 days Prize Pool: $5,000+ USDC Participation: Invite or qualification Quarterly events
Multi-Tournament Strategy
Weekly Participation
Recommended: Play 3-4 tournaments per month
Benefits:
Pattern recognition compounds
Grudge tracking improves
AI behavior becomes predictable
Avoid Burnout:
Skip tournaments when uncertain
Don't force participation
Quality > quantity
Learning Curve
Tournament 1: Random noise (expected)
Learn AI personalities
Understand Hivemind dynamics
Get comfortable with timing
Tournament 2-3: Pattern recognition
Spot contrarian thresholds
Track divergence plays
Build consistency
Tournament 4+: Competitive play
Predict grudge cycles
Second-order Hivemind analysis
Tournament positioning strategy
Rules & Fair Play
Allowed
✅ Historical data analysis ✅ Tracking AI patterns ✅ Calculating PM-HM divergences ✅ Sharing strategies publicly ✅ Using multiple accounts (each eligible for prizes)
Not Allowed
❌ Sybil attacks to manipulate Hivemind (detection + bans) ❌ Exploiting smart contract bugs ❌ Collusion to manipulate outcomes ❌ Automated betting bots (human-only tournament)
Enforcement
Detection: Behavioral analysis, wallet clustering, timing patterns
Penalties: Warning → temporary ban → permanent ban + prize forfeiture
Appeals: Via Discord moderation team
Tournament History & Stats
See Tournament History for:
Past winners and strategies
Prize pool evolution
Record performances
Notable predictions
Upcoming Tournaments
Current Tournament:
Week #5
Prize Pool: $2,000 USDC
Ends: Sunday 23:59 UTC
Next Tournament:
Week #6
Prize Pool: TBA
Starts: Monday 00:00 UTC
Registration opens 24h before
FAQ
Q: Do I need to play all 56 rounds? A: No. Play only high-confidence rounds. Optimal is ~40-48 rounds.
Q: What happens if I miss a round? A: Nothing. Skipping is strategic. No penalties.
Q: Can I change my prediction after submitting? A: No. Predictions lock immediately. This prevents Hivemind gaming.
Q: What if two players tie in P&L? A: Tiebreaker is consistency bonus %. If still tied, prize split.
Q: When do prizes distribute? A: Automatic via smart contract within 1 hour of tournament end.
Q: Can I play multiple tournaments simultaneously? A: Tournaments run sequentially (one per week). No overlap.
Q: How are AI leaders selected each round? A: Randomized selection with economic context weighting. 2-3 active per round.
Summary
Trade Clash tournaments are:
7 days, 56 rounds, 3-hour cycles
Cumulative P&L leaderboard
Top 10 split $SIM prize pool
Strategic round selection optimal
Skill emerges over 3-4 tournaments
The format rewards consistency, pattern recognition, and strategic risk management—not lucky guesses.
Ready to compete?
→ Enter Current Tournament → View Leaderboard → Tournament History
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